Understanding the environmental impacts of displacing UK agricultural/commodity production

Amounts and figures

Description

There is increasing pressure on land use in the UK due to demands from housing development and commitments to Net Zero and nature. This, combined with a changing climate, mean there may be less land available for agricultural commodity production within the UK. This may result in a displacement of production overseas. While there is good evidence on the carbon, biodiversity and other environmental impacts that any given land use change will bring in situ, there is currently no established method of identifying 1) where crops are likely to be grown instead and 2) what impacts this displaced crop growth may have. A way to estimate these could provide evidence that would help guide land use decisions and policy by providing a holistic understanding of both the domestic and international implications of these decisions. Project Aims 1. To produce an initial interim model that estimates where production would be displaced if a given area of land in the UK, producing a set quantity of a commodity, was no longer used for commodity production. The model will be based on clear and transparent assumptions. 2. To estimate the environmental impacts of production in these new locations. The cal…

Awards

Official publications

• Survey of potential Western Channel MPA control sites
  Published: 26 October 2026
• CASCADE evidence synthesis and research for JNCC's Areas of Research Interest
  Published: 12 October 2026
• A review of non-invasive fish monitoring methods for Highly Protected Marine Areas
  Published: 6 October 2026
• Eastern Channel Imagery Reference Collection Review
  Published: 6 October 2026
• Feasibility assessment of bioclimate vulnerability approaches for priority marine migratory species in the Caribbean and Pacific UK…
  Published: 24 September 2026
• Skill and Capability Analysis
  Published: 24 September 2026
• Analysis of Contaminants and Nutrients in Sediment from Central Fladen MPA 0926S
  Published: 17 September 2026
• Further development and annual updates to the Global Environmental Impacts of Consumption indicator
  Published: 18 August 2026
• Development of JNCC stakeholder mapping and engagement framework
  Published: 8 July 2026
• South Rigg MCZ Monitoring report and feasibility study
  Published: 6 July 2026

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The contracting authority is JNCC SUPPORT CO (United Kingdom).

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