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C3S2_610 Development of an event-linked counterfactual diagnostic evidence layer based on ECMWF forecast and reanalysis information in support of the C3S Operational Attribution Office

Buyer: European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)

Published
27 July 2026
Submission deadline
1 October 2026
Estimated value
€750,000
Procedure
open
Lots
1
Notice number
00518829-2026
Reference
44e8a55c-8103-45ab-85a8-fa9ca85cae42
Official source
Official source

CPV codes

Description

The aim of this ITT is to develop an event-linked counterfactual evidence layer to support the C3S Operational Attribution Office. Using ECMWF forecasts and reanalysis products, it will derive event-specific counterfactual diagnostics that provide additional evidence on how the intensity, probability or other characteristics of observed extreme events may have differed in the absence of human-induced climate change. ECMWF intends to award a single Framework Agreement, with a maximum duration of 18 months, which shall be implemented via a single multi-annual Service Contract, expected to commence at the beginning of Q1 2027.

Frequently asked questions

What is the deadline to bid for this tender?
The submission deadline is 1 October 2026. Check the official source, as dates can be modified.
What is the estimated value of this tender?
The estimated value published by the buyer is €750,000.
Who is the buyer of this tender?
The contracting authority is European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) (European Union).
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Data collected from official public procurement sources. Amounts as published by the buyer.